Mind the Gap (MTG) is a left-wing super PAC dedicated to helping Democratic political candidates win elections. The PAC earns millions of dollars in donations primarily from Silicon Valley executives “who are keen on quietly funneling massive political donations into the Democratic Party”12. The mission of MTG is to “empower private political donors to strengthen our democracy by providing them with evidence-based guidance on the electoral strategies, tactics, and programs that are likely to achieve the greatest impact in a given election”. 3
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In 2018, the PAC created a statistical model which attempted to score the impact each dollar donated would have on Democrats winning back control of the House of Representatives. The group ultimately raised more than 20 million dollars in its successful attempt to win back control of the House for Democrats.
MTG is known for its secretive operations where it attempts to quickly gather and coordinate donations over a short time to prevent Republicans from mobilizing donors in response. The PAC was founded in 2018 by Stanford Law professors Barbara Fried, Paul Brest, and researcher Graham Gottlieb. Of the three, only Gottlieb has political experience, having served former President Barack Obama as a staffer during his 2012 re-election campaign and in the White House. 4
According to people familiar with the organization and the New York Times, Mind the Gap provided recommendations on which organizations to contribute donations to for a network of political donors that included her own son cryptocurrency entrepreneur and former owner of defunct crypto company FTX Sam Bankman-Fried. 5
In a leaked 2019 memo, Mind the Gap refers to themselves as a collection of “pro bono donor advisors” but the group and their donors are much more powerful and influential than they let on. 6 according to the memo MTG won 10 of the 20 of races that they picked in 2018, despite most races initially being predicted as “lean” or “likely R”.
Brest, Fried, and Gottlieb established their donor network and started receiving donations leading up to the midterm elections in 2018. The PAC created a statistical model which attempted to score the marginal impact each dollar donated would have on Democrats winning back control of the House of Representatives. According to the memo, MTG was able to construct a “donor network of over 800 individuals…, [raising] a total of $20 million… [for] 20 undervalued and underfunded House races… and… [for] get-out-the-vote (GOTV) efforts in the 100 most competitive House races”. Their attempt to win back control of the House for Democrats was successful, they argue, due to their fundraising efforts.
The memo states that the main goal of MTG is to allocate donor money where it will increase the likelihood that the House seat will be flipped. MTG’s primary focus is funding races that are underfunded as money from donors will have the “greatest return.” Therefore, they do not judge “candidates based on geography, demographics, likeability, or policy positions” but choose who to donate money to based on their political position and their presence in an “orphan” or underfunded race.
In the memo, MTG also instructed donors to donate to 501(c)(3) voter registration nonprofits dedicated to registering new voters in swing states. The voter registration groups, which are required by IRS rules to be nonpartisan, were recommended to donors because such organizations are “three to four times more effective than the next best available tactic for increasing net Democratic votes in November 2020.” The organizations recommended for funding were the Voter Participation Center, the Center for Voter Information, a 501(c)(4), and Everybody Votes, which is the secret name of a network of organizations surrounding the secretive Voter Registration Project. 7 Voter registration drives funded by MTG primarily target counties and zip codes in battleground states as they are more likely to turn blue. The memo also specifically instructed donors to keep their donations and the names of the organizations secret to avoid detection by Republicans. 6
Major donors to MTG includes Google executive Shona Brown and venture capitalist Russell Siegalman. 8
Barbara Fried founded MTG alongside Paul Brest and Graham Gottlieb in 2018 to offer a ““Moneyball”-style analytics to political spending.” 5 She served as chairwoman of the board until November 2022, when she stepped down from her position due to financial scandals involving her son Sam Bankman-Fried after the latter’s cryptocurrency company FTX filed for bankruptcy. 9
Before creating the organization, Fried was a professor at Stanford Law School. 10. Barbara is also the mother of crypto-billionaire Sam Bankman-Fried. 9
Paul Brest is the Chair of the Board of Directors for Mind the Gap. Before joining the organization, Brest was most notably a professor at Stanford Law School and the president of the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation8.
Graham Gottlieb is the Executive Director and Treasurer for MTG. Before being a part of MTG, he worked for former President Barack Obama during his reelection campaign and later worked for his administration at the White House11.